by ClowntimeIsOver » Sat Sep 18, 2010 12:06 am
"SO by Ozzie going down for 15 games after playing 18 games while being a 1 injury, he won't go down again?"
It is difficult not being just a little bit snarky in reply.
"Average" means that in many seasons, Ozzie will miss an average of so many games per season. If YOUR Ozzie got a 15-game injury, he is just as likely to get another 15-game injury in his next at bat as he is at any other time. So the answer to your question is "No." As noted, the results I give account for every kind of season averaged together -- seasons when a guy never gets injured, and seasons when he gets injured every single time he comes to the plate. Averaged together, all these seasons will equal a certain number of missed games per season. The average number of missed games per season, however, does not affect what happens to your Ozzie on the next roll after he returns from his injury. Your Ozzie could possibly miss as many as 151 games if put in the line-up every day, and end the season with exactly 11 PAs. Or he could play every inning of every game every time you ever have him on every team you ever draft. "Average" takes this into account. And "average" is what player values, ideally, are based on (player values being the whole point).
(I hope people respond to the updated thread, which is more accurate than this thread and is here:)
http://forums.sportingnews.com/viewtopic.php?t=619032