Catchers Interference

Catchers Interference

Postby danielz » Fri May 25, 2012 5:20 pm

Has anyone ever watched or listened to a lot of major league baseball games?

If you answered yes, how many times has there been catchers interference?

Almost never, but I am seeing this come up quite frequently. Either the code should be changed or this should be dropped completely.
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Postby hackra » Fri May 25, 2012 7:19 pm

It seems to me that this comes up once or twice per season in MLB....and I do not watch every game.
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Postby lanier64 » Fri May 25, 2012 8:37 pm

This article should explain it.


[url]http://baseballanalysts.com/archives/2008/08/the_world_of_ca.php[/url]
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Postby hackra » Fri May 25, 2012 8:47 pm

I stand corrected, it is 9-31 times per season.
Great link Lanier64 8-)
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Postby danielz » Fri May 25, 2012 11:21 pm

Interesting. So in a bad year, every team will have 1.
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Postby danielz » Mon May 28, 2012 3:31 pm

*** TOP OF INNING 3 ***
0 M.McGwire 6-10 Catchers Interference - C b-1 catch-x F9
0 1 M.Williams 1-9 Fly Out (CF) b-0


So they happen once a year per team, but this is my 2nd in 4 days.
Like I said, Change the code or eliminate it.
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Postby danielz » Mon May 28, 2012 9:29 pm

*** BOTTOM OF INNING 3 ***
0 R.Santo 4-4 Catchers Interference - C b-1 catch-x F9

Make that 3 times in 4 days

My guess is it is happening waaaaaay to much.
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Postby coyote303 » Mon May 28, 2012 10:10 pm

[quote:cc81fddbbc="danielz"]*** TOP OF INNING 3 ***
0 M.McGwire 6-10 Catchers Interference - C b-1 catch-x F9
0 1 M.Williams 1-9 Fly Out (CF) b-0


So they happen once a year per team, but this is my 2nd in 4 days.
Like I said, Change the code or eliminate it.[/quote:cc81fddbbc]

Eyeballing the graph, it looks like there is about 1/100 chance of a catcher's interference coming up per game (counting both teams).

So if you get a catcher's interference in any given game, the odds don't change for the next game. There would be 1/100 chance of having another the next game. The odds of having it happen again in the next three games (like happened to you) is just under 3 percent.

In fact if the very first batter or two gets on by catcher's interference, there is almost 1/100 chance that it will happen again in the same game!

This is a recurring theme in the game. If something rare happens, that does [b:cc81fddbbc]not[/b:cc81fddbbc] mean odds favor it not happening again for a long time. Quite the contrary--the odds don't change.
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