The Secret Formula 2010

Postby Irahays » Fri Dec 24, 2010 10:44 am

[quote:bd1c26600c="Aray0113"][quote:bd1c26600c="Irahays"]I won one 2009 league with Brian Roberts at second base. So your evaluation of 20 teams a year for the last seven years is invalid.[/quote:bd1c26600c]

I too have won with a 3 at 2B; this doesn't make J-Pav's findings invalid, however. [/quote:bd1c26600c]

Perhaps you didn't read the long post by Helium, I thought the sarcasm in my post you quoted would be obvious. :)

Anyhow, I would like to hear about the 4 stud hitter build J-Pav mentioned.

I also just realized Jpav was in a league with me when our division came down to game 162. Crazy. Of course he won the game 1-0.
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Postby J-Pav » Fri Dec 24, 2010 12:36 pm


Your 100 win team that completely pwned me finally lit the light bulb, although I've seen a few others fool around with similar type teams (and I don't need to remind you what happened when I unleashed your own strategy against you in the rematch league!!!)


I do have the stats for the 20 teams on a spreadsheet, and although I don't have the numbers at my fingertips, I can recall that most times the spreads were pretty close, especially at the top.

The differences are more in the lower middle. GMs who can platoon and utilize low dollar players more efficiently tend to to be more Formula-ish. Some GMs prefer a more 6-6-6-5-5-5-4-4-4 kind of spread. So the standard deviations would be misleading without any kind of context. An eighth ranked offensive player can be $1-5 mil, depending on style, so now we're starting to get a little to close to the trees. The [i:4f0ff056a7]averages[/i:4f0ff056a7], I think, are a pretty good representation of the forest.


Here's one of my early rings. I've moved away from the Four Stud Hitters since then, now I'm wondering why ( :shock: ), as 900 runs scored is pretty healthy!

Oh yeah, I remember. This was the last time I scored Three Stud *SPs! The Formula might be most useful when your best laid plans gang aft agley and you're forced to reorganize from scratch. Too many times, I think, GMs try to impose their original plan on a broken draft. TSF is a solid Plan B, as even ten minutes before doors close you can patch together a fairly decent team from the FA pool that somewhat resembles the recommendations.
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Postby keyzick » Wed Dec 29, 2010 9:58 am


2's or better up the middle

Focus on hitting righties, you'll face them about 2/3 of the time


- High HR Park(s)? Avoid the BPHRs (#'s) on your pitchers cards (do the opposite with your hitters)

- Low HR Park(s)? You can find a lot of value with pitchers who may have low prices due to a plethora of #'s, but will be valuable to your situation. Don't pay too much for hitters with a lot of #'s, as their price will be higher, reflecting that aspect as being used as a value, but will be completely negated in your park.

- High Singles Park(s)? Avoid the BPSingles (>'s) on your pitchers cards (do the opposite with your hitters

- Low Singles Park(s)? You can be oblivious to pitchers >'s, they won't hurt you...

I never really would pay too much attention to parks (if I did, it was very superficial), and I have REALLY paid the price for that in 2009. It's only recently that I decided "Hey, don't be a moron, you keep ignoring one of the biggest facets of the game, despite the loads of posts that elaborate on it". Guess it was because I'd succeeded in spite of myself before, or rather, drafted appropriately for the types of parks I used by pure coincidence. attention to JPav's "Secret Formula"!! It is long, but very interesting and informative. My attempt above was to melt it down to some easy to remember nuggets.

Good luck to all!
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Postby J-Pav » Wed Dec 29, 2010 11:32 am


Do you like your players? You're not too far away from a 6-6-6-5-5-5-4-4-4 offense, which would allow you to upgrade your C, CF and DH to $4 mil guys and still throw $3 mil at another SP.

Mauer's the star of the show and I won a ring w/ him once, but you have to ask yourself: Is he worth TWO Pandas?? I'd probably rather have the two $7 mil guys, esp in Camden.

If you don't like your players, reload the guys who don't fit and move to a more 9-8-7-6-5-4-3-2-1 offense like I've recommended. Your pitching looks pretty decent, and overall, I don't think it's too bad a team despite a first waiver pick. However you decide to go, it shouldn't be too bad either way.
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Postby toronto50 » Wed Dec 29, 2010 12:32 pm

find some starters that keep the ball in the park that dont cost alot..marquis, correa

see if roenicke is available as righty specialist ( he pitched 56 innings for me in the Cell and didnt give up a hr)

Camden favors righty hitters but do u have good righty hitters

Camden will provide lots of base runners so be able to turn DP's (good catcher arm, good 2b and ss)'ll make ur pitchers look better
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Postby Irahays » Wed Dec 29, 2010 10:07 pm

My first secret formula team.

2-4 start, thanks a lot!
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Postby J-Pav » Wed Dec 29, 2010 10:32 pm

The good news is that it's still early.

The bad news is that [b:b082ead627]TexasKen[/b:b082ead627]'s Richardson team just bounced me in my last league and now he's in [i:b082ead627]your[/i:b082ead627] division.


(You actually have a pretty decent team there in my opinion - hopefully it works out!)

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Postby iarzwashere » Sun Jan 02, 2011 7:20 pm

great advice!
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